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Sensex, Nifty charts (Apr 03, 2020): in long-term bear markets

yesterday  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
During Mar '20, FIIs were net sellers of equity worth a humongous Rs 658.17 Billion. It was their highest monthly net selling ever - exceeding their previous highest monthly net selling (Jan '08) by more than 2.2 times. DIIs were net buyers of equity worth an enormous Rs 555.95 Billion. It was their highest monthly net buying ever - exceeding their previous highest monthly net buying (Oct '18) by more than 2.1 times, as per provisional figures.Automobile sales during Mar '20 fell off a cliff. The de-growth was the worst ever. Combined passenger vehicle sales fell 51% compared with Mar '19 - with all major manufacturers declaring high double digit falls. Combined commercial vehicle sales crashed 89% YoY. (Growth in CV sales is one of the first signs of economic recovery. India seems very far away from that.)Despite the revised estimate made in the budget, direct tax collections during FY 2019-20 fell short by Rs 1.42 Trillion from the revised estimate of Rs..
                 

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I am personally tired of reading, watching and listening about the Coronavirus. So, this week there is nothing related to it or to its impact on the economy or anything like that. Stay indoors. Staf safe. We shall overcome.Deep thinking worksPut bluntly, facts don’t exist. Versions of them do. Even if we could agree on facts, different versions of facts exist for each individual. And that’s a big reason many of us like to simplify this disparate view into numbers/financial statements, albeit losing perspective and nuance. In the world of big data, robots may arbitrage headlines, but they can’t (at least yet) ponder multiple subjective arguments like we can do. Counterintuitively, stretching investment horizons simplifies our job is in spite of additional possible outcomes. At least we are an order of magnitude right instead of precisely wrong.https://www.valuewalk.com/2017/09/deep-research-vs-deep-pondering/Jay Leno always saved money from his second incomeFrom the moment he entered th..
                 

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Dear Reader, As you know, equity markets have experienced turbulent times recently as investors keep watch of a deadly viral outbreak of COVID-19 initially in China and now in many other countries across globe causing economic and market damage. None of us (who have invested in Indian equities) can forget the extreme fear we have experienced on Friday morning, 13th March, when trading was halted for 45 minutes as benchmark indices were down by 10% hitting lower circuits on exchanges.In fact, we were expecting some correction in broader markets i.e mid and small caps post rally in stock prices since beginning of this year, however it was not expected that stock prices will collapse like falling knife with global stock market crash. The crash was so brutal that Nifty was on lower circuit on Friday. The bloodbath on Dalal Street intensified on Thursday followed by Friday with benchmark indices entering into the bear market and logging their worst e..
                 

Only The Paranoid Survive! Expert Had Predicted (1 Year Ago) That Nifty Will Plunge To 9200 & That Investors Will Get Butchered

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Sensex, Nifty charts (Mar 06, 2020): getting ready to enter bear markets?

29 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
FIIs were net sellers of equity on all five trading days of the week. Their total net selling was worth a huge Rs 107.20 Billion. DIIs were net buyers of equity on all five days. Their total net buying was worth Rs 100.93 Billion, as per provisional figures. After touching an 8-year high of 55.3 in Jan '20, India's Manufacturing PMI slipped to 54.5 in Feb '20. (A figure above 50 indicates expansion.) However, India's Services PMI rose from 55.5 in Jan '20 to a 7-year high of 57.5 in Feb '20. The Composite (Manufacturing + Services) PMI rose from 56.3 in Jan '20 to 57.6 in Feb '20.As per CMIE, India's unemployment rate rose to 7.78% in Feb '20 - highest in 4 months - from 7.16% in Jan '20. In rural areas, unemployment rate increased to 7.37% in Feb '20 from 5.97% in Jan '20; in urban areas, it fell to 8.65% from 9.7%.BSE Sensex index chart patternNote the following comments from last week's post on the daily bar chart pattern of Sensex:"... worrisome for bulls is the 336 ..
                 

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Sensex, Nifty charts (Feb 20, 2020): sideways consolidation continues

one month ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
In a holiday-curtailed trading week, FIIs were net sellers of equity during the first three days, but net sellers on Thu. (Feb 20). Their total net buying was worth Rs 8.56 Billion. DIIs were net sellers of equity on Mon., Tue. and Thu. (Feb 17, 18 and 20), but net buyers on Wed. (Feb 19). Their total net selling was worth Rs 5.73 Billion, as per provisional figures.On a YoY basis in Jan '20, India's passenger vehicle, commercial vehicle and two-wheeler registrations contracted by 4.6%, 6.8% and 8.9% respectively. Registrations for three-wheelers and tractors grew by 9.2% and 5.1%.As per ASPA, India's counterfeit auto parts market was worth Rs 1 Trillion in 2019 -  adversely affecting the automobile industry. Selling spurious parts results in a tax revenue loss of Rs 22 Billion to the government.BSE Sensex index chart patternThe daily bar chart pattern of Sensex oscillated about its 20 day and 50 day EMAs, while trading sideways within a range of 800 points during a truncated..
                 

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