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Scary Times

2 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

One Market, Two Views

2 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Nifty chart: a midweek technical update (Dec 11, 2019)

3 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
FIIs were net buyers of equity on Mon. and Wed. (Nov 9 and 11), but were net sellers on Tue. (Nov 10). Their total net buying was worth Rs 7.0 Billion. DIIs were net buyers of equity on all three trading days. Their total net buying was worth Rs 6.5 Billion, as per provisional figures.India's electricity demand fell 4.3% to 94.6 Billion units in Nov '19 against 98.84 Billion units in Nov '18. It was the fourth straight month of power demand decline, as per CEA. Power demand had declined 13.2% YoY in Oct '19 - the steepest monthly decline in more than 12 years, reflecting a deepening growth slowdown.ADB has slashed India's GDP growth forecast to 5.1% in FY 2019-20 from 6.5% that was forecast earlier. For FY 2020-21, GDP growth forecast has been cut to 6.5% from 7.2% on the back of risk aversion, credit crunch, slumping consumption and rural distress.The daily bar chart pattern of Nifty has been correcting after touching a new high of 12158.80 on Nov 28 and penetrating the upper Bollinge..
                 

NBFCs – Growth Outlook

3 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Down Economy Advice

4 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Weekend Reading

8 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Abhishek Basumallick Blog  
Reading across disciplines is one of the best ways to improve our investment acumen. Here is a summary of some of the best articles I read this week.E-Sports (competitive video games) is big businessChina now boasts a gaming population of over 500 million, and competitive gaming has become big business. Esports-related sales in China hit 51.3 billion yuan ($7.3 billion) during the first six months of 2019 and are on track to top 100 billion yuan for the year.There are more than 5,000 gaming teams operating in an industry that now employs 440,000 people.Depending on their contracts, trainees are paid about 10,000 yuan per month, while mid- to upper-ranking gamers earn around $50,000 annually, according to Li Xinyuan, the team manager. Top-tier gamers can earn over $90,000. Those rates mean even trainees make more than average factory workers in Shanghai, whose initial monthly take-home pay is typically around 4,000-5,000 yuan per month.https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Media-Entertainmen..
                 

Forecasting Folly : RBI Edition

9 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

I am not my share price

11 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s Latest Blue-Chip Small-Cap Stock Pick Is On Verge Of “Multiple Year Break Out”: Experts

14 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ RJ Fan Site  
                 

CUB Vs HDFC Bank

16 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

What I learnt from Peter Bernstein

18 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Adani as a kid

22 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

What Wealth Destruction looks like

23 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Triple Digit Yield

24 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Regime Change and Value: A Follow up Post on Aramco

24 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Aswath Damodaran Blog  
                 

Mind the Float

25 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Sensex, Nifty charts (Nov 15, 2019): consolidating near lifetime highs

27 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
In a holiday-curtailed trading week, FIIs were net buyers of equity on Mon. and Wed. (Nov 11 and 13), but were net sellers during Thu. and Fri. (Nov 14 and 15). Their total net selling was worth Rs 3.2 Billion. DIIs were net sellers of equity on Mon. and Wed., but were net buyers on the last two days. Their total net selling was worth Rs 5.1 Billion.The macroeconomic indicators are hinting at deeper trouble. IIP contracted 4.3% in Sep '19 to its lowest level in 8 years. CPI inflation rose 4.62% in Oct '19 - to a 16 months high. WPI inflation eased to 0.16% in Oct '19 - to a 3 years low due to a fall in prices of fuel, power and manufactured goods.Exports contracted 1.11% to US $26.38 Billion in Oct '19, while imports fell 16.31% to $37.39 Billion, leaving a lower trade deficit of $11 Billion against $18 Billion in Oct '18. Consumer spending fell for the first time in 4 decades in FY 2017-18 - driven by slack rural demand - according to a survey by NSO, which the government ha..
                 

Spend Less Save More & Be Greedy to Buy Small Cap Stocks!

28 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Saral Gyan Blog  
Dear Reader,If you are the one who was investing in small cap stocks in the year like 2016 and 2017 and stopped investing now due to recent carnage in broader markets, believe us you are making a bigger mistake. Do not allow your emotions to take control of your equity investment decisions, instead inculcate habit of investing in discipline manner.While major indices Sensex & Nifty is hovering near to at all time high delivering returns of 17%  and 12% respectively since 1st Jan 2018, BSE Mid Cap and Small Cap index is down delivering negative returns of -18% and -30% respectively during the same period. With divergence of ~47% since Jan 2018 between small caps and Sensex large cap stocks, its very likely that we can see strong out performance from small and mid-caps delivering significantly higher returns over next 12 to 24 months compared to large caps.Economic Revival will lead to Outperformance of Mid & Small Caps in FY 2020-21With GDP growth falling to 6 years lo..
                 

Insights into the Paint Industry

yesterday  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

A Big Chinese Shock

2 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Bharat Bond ETF Offers No Investment Bonding

3 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Sanjay Matai Blog  
                 

Mind the Pop

4 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Heading towards the Exit

5 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

The Man Who Solved the Market by Gregory Zuckerman - My Highlights

9 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Abhishek Basumallick Blog  
I completed the book the week it was out in India. I have been following (reading about, listening to, watching) Jim Simons and a few others over the last two years that I have personally started learning and experimenting with quant systems. (Planning to start writing about my learnings on quant systems, more so that I can understand them better while trying to write).Simons has always been an enigma and I was certain that the book would not reveal any information which was not known earlier by the public but only supply anecdotes of his personal life. I was more or less right. There are practically no details of his trading system. But then again this book was probably not meant to. Overall, it was a great read. I would urge investors to read it, just to get a perspective of how a quant's view of investing is different from that of others.The highlights are below. The bold markup is mine to highlight points I found interesting.A former math professor, Simons is arguably the most succ..
                 

Nifty chart: a midweek technical update (Dec 04, 2019)

10 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
FIIs have turned net sellers of equity during the first three trading days this week. Their total net selling was worth Rs 36.4 Billion. DIIs were net buyers of equity on all three trading days. Their total net buying was worth Rs 26.2 Billion, as per provisional figures.The IHS Markit India Manufacturing PMI rose to 51.2 in Nov '19 from a two year low of 50.6 in Oct '19. A figure above 50 indicates expansion. India's GST collection rose to Rs 1.03 Trillion in Nov '19 against Rs 0.95 Trillion in Oct '19 and Rs 0.97 Trillion in Nov '18.Passenger vehicle sales continued to disappoint. 262,892 units were sold in Nov '19 against 284,048 units in Oct '19 and 263,455 units in Nov '18. New product launches helped reduce steep double-digit decline in sales before the festive season.For the past five weeks, the daily bar chart pattern of Nifty had been trading within a bearish 'rising wedge' pattern - from which a downward breakout occurred on Tue. Dec 3.The index found support at its 20 day EM..
                 

Education of an Investor

10 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Abhishek Basumallick Blog  
In the last webinar I conducted for the members of Intelsense advisory, there was a question on what should one read to start off and become a better investor. I took some time and have identified some books, courses, magazine, newspapers that can help you in learning more about investing. I have categorized them so that you can pick and choose. Of all the books I have read over the years, these are the ones I have found useful and have read most of them more than once. The list is big. But do not get overwhelmed by it. Remember, this is not school homework you need to finish in a timebound manner. Go through them slowly but methodically. I have found that reading every day for a fixed period, say 30 mins, at a fixed time, makes it easier to form and stick to the reading habit. Also, importantly, do not feel compelled to complete a book. If you do not like a book or feel it is not adding much value to you, feel free to skim through or put it down all together and mo..
                 

Apple beats Energy

11 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Three Ways

12 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

FM Explained

15 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Mega Trend: India Retail Credit

16 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Saurabh Mukherjea Buys Top-Quality Stock Which Is “Too Deliciously Cheap”

17 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ RJ Fan Site  
                 

What I learnt from Samir Arora

17 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

It’s hard to know

19 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Sensex, Nifty charts (Nov 22, 2019): consolidating but showing some signs of bearishness

20 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
FIIs were net sellers of equity on Mon. and Tue. (Nov 18 and 19), but were net buyers during Wed. through Fri. (Nov 20-22). Their total net buying was worth Rs 47.1 Billion. DIIs were net buyers of equity on Mon. through Wed., but were net sellers on the last two days. Their total net buying was worth Rs 3.3 Billion.India's urban unemployment rate during Jan-Mar '19 dropped to 9.3% from 9.9% during Oct-Dec '18. Unemployment among 15-29 year olds was 22.5% during Jan-Mar '19 against 23.7% during Oct-Dec '18.According to a report by CEAMA, India's appliances and consumer electronics market size is expected to nearly double to Rs 1.48 Trillion by FY 25 from Rs 764 Billion in FY 19.BSE Sensex index chart patternThe daily bar chart pattern of Sensex has been consolidating sideways within a 'rectangle' pattern for the past three weeks. The entire consolidation has taken place above the three rising EMAs in a bull market. So, the expected index breakout from the 'rectangle' is upwards.Ho..
                 

If You Buy Quality Stocks Even At 100 PE, You Will Still Make Money: Saurabh Mukherjea Stays Defiant & Rubbishes Fears Of Bubble In Valuations

22 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ RJ Fan Site  
                 

What Sanjay Nayar of KKR learnt in 2019

22 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

What a NBFC Crisis looks like

23 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

10 Salary Components That Can Help Employees Reduce Tax Burden

23 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Sanjay Matai Blog  
                 

Nifty chart: a midweek technical update (Nov 20, 2019)

24 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Subhankar Blog  
FIIs were net sellers of equity on Mon. and Tue. (Nov 18 and 19), but were net buyers on Wed. (Nov 20). Their total net selling was worth Rs 6.2 Billion. DIIs were net buyers of equity on on all three trading days. Their total net buying was worth Rs 7.5 Billion, as per provisional figures.Economists at SBI, Capital Economics and Nomura have lowered their Q2 (Sep '19) GDP growth forecasts to figures between 4.2% and 4.7%. Q2 GDP data will be published on Nov 29.The government remains in denial. Jr Finance Minister stated in Parliament that there is no 5% GDP growth slowdown and the government has no intention of revising the fiscal deficit target.The daily bar chart pattern of Nifty has been consolidating sideways within a 'rectangle' pattern for the past three weeks. The index is still struggling to cross above the 12000 level in a convincing manner.A 'rectangle' usually acts as a 'continuation' pattern. Since the index is trading above its three rising EMAs in a bull market, the like..
                 

Below Average

25 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas  
                 

Be lucky like Mota Bhai

26 days ago  
Business / Blogs/ Alpha Ideas